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	<title>Mobile Foresight &#187; Telecom 2.0</title>
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	<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com</link>
	<description>Jonas Lind’s blog about innovations, business models, trends, and other things that propel the telecom/media sector forward</description>
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		<title>Skype traffic up 50% in one year, has 12% of international calling minutes</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2010/01/skype-12-percent-international-calling-minutes/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2010/01/skype-12-percent-international-calling-minutes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Jan 2010 20:33:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Telecom 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[skype]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=1210</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Skype is now the undisputed market leader in international voice traffic with a 12% market share. More info here.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Skype is now the undisputed market leader in international voice traffic with a 12% market share. More info <a href="http://www.techcrunch.com/2010/01/19/skype-international-calling-minutes-share/">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>A privacy backlash on its way: telcos will be in center of the storm</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/08/privacy-backlash-and-telcos/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/08/privacy-backlash-and-telcos/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Aug 2009 14:22:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Telecom 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trends and Futurism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ACTA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civil liberties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data retention]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRA law]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPRED]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pirate Party]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[privacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[snooping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[surveillance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=907</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>After 9/11 it was inevitable that the trade-off between civil liberties and security would shift in favor of security. The thinking of this period can neatly be summarized in a quote by Tony Blair who said something like “if there is a new terrorist attack, people will not ask why we infringed on civil liberties [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After 9/11 it was inevitable that the trade-off between civil liberties and security would shift in favor of security. The thinking of this period can neatly be summarized in a quote by Tony Blair who said something like “if there is a new terrorist attack, people will not ask why we infringed on civil liberties but why we didn’t do more to prevent this from happening”.</p>
<p>However, almost a decade after 9/11 the Zeitgeist has shifted once again and there are strong signals that privacy and civil liberties are on their way to becoming major political issues. The government machinery moves slowly and it takes years before a policy shift is implemented and new security measures start to affect people’s daily lives. In the name of national security, measures such as interception of Internet traffic and retention of traffic records (phone calls, SMS etc.) are now rolled out across Europe and the US while the memory of 9/11 is fading.</p>
<p>This backlash against the increasingly intrusive post 9/11 surveillance state is most strongly felt among the Net generation. What adds fuel to the fire is that the Net generation fears that these new instruments will be handed over to the copyright lobby to chase MP3 music file sharers. The file sharers don’t view what they’re doing as a serious criminal offense. This is a generation that lives a growing part of their social and private life on the Net. They feel strongly about even the slightest possibility of interception of private messages by secretive government agencies. Recent scandals when confidential government data bases have been compromised by human error does not exactly add to the confidence.</p>
<p>The privacy backlash has already triggered significant protests in some countries. In Sweden, controversies during 2008 around a new surveillance law that would give the military intelligence agency FRA the right to intercept all internet traffic that passes the Swedish border created parliamentary chaos, <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2008-07-01-sweden-privacy_N.htm">street protests</a>, and dominated <a href="http://klamberg.blogspot.com/2008/10/fra-law-sleepwalking-into-surveillance.html">headline media</a> for <a href="http://frapedia.se/wiki/Kronologisk_lista_över_nyhetsartiklar_om_FRA-lagen">months </a>until the government partly retreated.</p>
<p>The campaign against the “FRA-law” is a case study for how an impending privacy backlash can develop in other countries. It was successfully initiated by the Swedish blogosphere and drew supporters from wide areas of society. In the European Parliament elections in June 2009 this controversy helped the Swedish Pirate Party to gain 7.1 percent of the votes and win seats in Brussels. (The Pirate Party should not only be viewed as the political arm of music and software pirates. The issue of privacy and civil liberties was much more important for most voters than file sharing.)</p>
<p>In the campaign against the FRA-law, the file sharers suspected that increased surveillance would be used to gather evidence against them. Closet gay people feared that such information would somehow leak. The same applied to those who communicated with opposition groups in repressive countries. People who wanted to keep their porn habits private or cheated on their partner had their own reasons. Environmental and left-wing activists took issue with the suspicion that the secret brotherhood of spooks are too cozy with the arms industry, big government or big companies such as the GMO-industry. Celebrities feared that the tabloids would pay enough to corrupt civil servants in the surveillance agencies. <a href="http://www.laquadrature.net/en">Civil</a> rights <a href="http://www.edri.org/">activists</a> opposed it by<a href="http://www.iptegrity.com/"> principle</a>.</p>
<hr width=10% align=center>
<p>More surveillance laws are in the works and new protests have the potential to explode in the headlines in more countries. In <a href="http://www.vorratsdatenspeicherung.de/">Germany</a> street protests with upwards of 8,000 people have taken place under the banner “Freedom Not Fear”. Another country that comes to mind is the UK, which has already gone a long way towards the surveillance state.</p>
<p>Security agencies and the police are given new rights to install <a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article5439604.ece">spyware</a> on people’s <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2008/dec/31/privacy-civil-liberties">computers</a> and there are plans to track and record people’s movement via their mobile phone positioning. <a href="http://news.cnet.com/8301-13578_3-9892897-38.html">Customs officers</a> in the US and UK already have the right to inspect and copy all content on a passenger’s laptop, MP3 player and mobile phone in their “fight against terrorism”. At the same time, the legal restrictions on methods that are enacted to fight terrorism have been  <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601102&amp;sid=aXjIA5NzyM5c&amp;refer=uk">relaxed</a> and they can sometimes be used <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/2696031/Anti-terrorism-laws-used-to-spy-on-noisy-children.html">without a court order</a> or <a href="http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/top-stories/2008/08/28/anti-terror-laws-hold-kid-boozers-115875-20714369/">grounds for suspicion</a>.</p>
<p>The EU Directive of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Telecommunications_data_retention#Data_retention_in_the_European_Union">Traffic Data Retention</a> requires that operators keep records of their users’ traffic for up to two years (though not the content) for law enforcement agencies. Another EU Directive (IPRED) gives copyright holders the right to request file sharers IP-addresses from ISPs.</p>
<p>A new international antipiracy treaty, <a href="http://www.eff.org/press/archives/2009/01/29">ACTA</a> has stirred up controversy over a proposal to explicitly allow customs officers to perform random searches of laptops and MP3 players. The <a href="http://euobserver.com/871/27390">secrecy</a> surrounding the ACTA negotiations of course adds to the <a href="http://press.ffii.org/Press_releases/EU_Council_deliberately_obstructs_access_to_ACTA_documents">controversy</a>.</p>
<p>In addition there are EU proposals championed by France to ban users from Net access as a punishment for file sharing. The ban is planned to be an administrative decision by the operators/IPR holders without the means of appeal by the court system. It was <a href="http://sigfridinenglish.wordpress.com/2008/04/10/european-parliament-says-no-to-internet-ban/">rejected</a> by the EU Parliament in April 2008 and rejected again during the vote for the Telecom Directive in October. In 2009, it was reintroduced a third time in the EU Parliament by the <a href="http://www.iptegrity.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=233&amp;Itemid=9">Medina report</a>. After a tumultuous vote in May 2009 where the EU Parliament refused to accept the Telecom package (due to this controversy) the entire Telecom package was sent back to the EU Council of Ministers for compromise negotiations.</p>
<p>To summarize, if the tipping point is reached in the public debate and the agenda changes from of fear terrorism to fear of an Orwellian 1984 society, the tabloids will have all this and a whole lot <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Shadow-Factory-Ultra-Secret-Eavesdropping-America/dp/0385521324/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1233684440&amp;sr=1-1">more to write about</a>.</p>
<hr width=10% align=center>
<p>The telcos are put in the awkward position of being forced to be the agents of these measures. Many telcos have an interest in exploiting the rich high quality customer data they already control. However, if they compile and extract more for their data mining projects, there will be more information for the authorities to collect. If users fear that collected information can be used against them because the telcos are too submissive to government security agencies or the copyright lobby, the trust will be lost.</p>
<p>In the same way as Google has been lobbying for Net Neutrality, the telcos need to step up their lobbying efforts and do everything they can to counter this development. Challenging new laws in the courts together with making noise in the media would serve the purpose of reassuring customers that defending their privacy is paramount.</p>
<p>When the Bush administration in 2001 requested that the US telcos cooperate with the NSA on mass wiretapping, the small operator Qwest <a href="http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/05/15/business/Link.php">stood firm</a> and demanded a court order. No such order was presented and when the <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2006-05-10-nsa_x.htm">scandal of illegal wiretapping</a> broke a few years later, Qwest was considered a hero.</p>
<p>During the Swedish FRA controversy, all the Swedish telcos made a <a href="http://www.dn.se/DNet/jsp/polopoly.jsp?d=572&amp;a=802909">joint critical statement</a> against the law. Hence, the wrath was not directed against them. The incumbent TeliaSonera have repeatedly stated that they will only give out information about their customers after a final court order (that is, in the supreme court).</p>
<p>Telcos also need to make sure that respecting customer privacy is a priority throughout the entire organization. They should be as obsessive about privacy as the banks. No more scandals with telcos that use their network for <a href="http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,555379,00.html">spying on journalists</a> or their own employees that they suspect of leaking information to the press. If there are any <a href="http://www.edri.org/edrigram/number2.23/snooping">unlawful backroom agreements</a> with the spooks in the name of alleged “national security” these should be dismantled.</p>
<p>If the telcos are transparent about what they are forced to do my belief is that they can avoid being perceived as a part of the threatening surveillance machinery.</p>
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		<title>The missing function in mobile voicemail</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/08/missing-function-mobile-voicemail/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/08/missing-function-mobile-voicemail/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Aug 2009 12:39:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Customers and Users]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile Industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Telecom 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[call forwarding]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[voicemail]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=876</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Have the mobile operators overlooked how customers use the Forwarding To Voicemail function when a call is not answered? If someone calls your mobile and you don’t answer, the call is forwarded to your voicemail after a few rings. I find it very irritating that I can’t set the time to more than 30 seconds [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Have the mobile operators overlooked how customers use the Forwarding To Voicemail function when a call is not answered? If someone calls your mobile and you don’t answer, the call is forwarded to your voicemail after a few rings. I find it very irritating that I can’t set the time to more than 30 seconds before the call is forwarded.</p>
<p>There are a number of situations where 30 seconds is simply too short, for example: If you are in the middle of a noisy street you might not hear the signal immediately. If you are at home and don’t take the phone with you when you move to another room or floor. The phone might be tucked away in a zipped pocket, or a woman might have the phone in a handbag. Smartphones are larger and clumsier and users often don’t want them in their clothing but put them away in a briefcase or bag. And if you want to read the display to see who is calling and then think for a few seconds about whether you want to take the call even more time is consumed before answering.</p>
<p>Personally, I prefer to use a ring signal that vibrates for the first 15 seconds. However, this is impossible as it only leaves 15 seconds to take the call if you miss the silent vibration signal. I have been prepared to switch to another operator to get a 45, 60 or 90 second ring signal. Unfortunately all the Swedish operators I checked (Telia, Tre, Tele2, Telenor, Halebop, Djuice) do not offer more than a 30 second ring signal. (I haven’t checked this for other countries.)</p>
<p>This is yet another example of how companies in the tech sector that invest huge resources in market research, focus groups and customer segmentation can miss the basics. The giants in the industry compete so intensely with the latest advanced technology that they devote more attention to their competitors and new cool features than on their own customers.</p>
<p>As I have said before, the problem is that the <a href="http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/08/criticism-super-glossy-pc-screens/">industry does not understand the customer’s micro situation</a> and the context in which he or she is using the product. Since voice is still the most important revenue source for the operators, any improvement in this service will have a direct impact on the bottom line. The operators are mistaken if they view voice as a boring cash cow with low status that is impossible to improve or develop. Just look at <a href="http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/07/google-voice-verizon-missed/">Google Voice</a> to get an idea of the potential for improvement.
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>This article has previously been published on my Swedish blog.</em></p>
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		<title>EU Telecom Package: a repeat of copyright lobby strategy from the 90s</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/08/eu-telecom-package-a-repeat-of-copyright-lobby-strategy-from-the-90s/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/08/eu-telecom-package-a-repeat-of-copyright-lobby-strategy-from-the-90s/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Aug 2009 17:42:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Telecom 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trends and Futurism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2001/29/EC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[copyright]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPR]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=861</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The conflict between the tech industry and the copyright lobby has been going on since the 1990s. The current controversy surrounding the EU Telecom Package is very similar to the fight that took place in 1999 when the EU Copyright Directive (2001/29/EC) was put to a vote in the EU Parliament.</p>
<p>At that time the copyright [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The conflict between the tech industry and the copyright lobby has been going on since the 1990s. The current controversy surrounding the EU Telecom Package is very similar to the fight that took place in 1999 when the EU Copyright Directive (<a href="http://ec.europa.eu/internal_market/copyright/copyright-infso/copyright-infso_en.htm#directive">2001/29/EC)</a> was put to a vote in the EU Parliament.</p>
<p>At that time the copyright lobby (led by MEP Roberto Barzanti) almost succeeded in enacting an amendment (Article 5.1 ”on incidental copying”) that would have made ISPs <a href="http://www.theregister.co.uk/1999/02/10/anticaching_lobby_wins_round_one/">legally responsible for cached copies</a> of Internet traffic. These cached copies are stored for a thousandth of a second in the internet backbone routers during transport. Internet network operators would only be allowed to store cached content transported over the network if they had a pre-approval by the copyright holders.</p>
<p>Since all Internet traffic in transit jumps from one router to another in a random way, only traffic that is in some way guaranteed not to infringe copyright can be allowed. If an IP transfer crosses several national borders the traffic has to be legal in all intermediate steps.</p>
<p>This is copyright extremism at its finest: A “copyright crime” with a duration of a few microseconds which the network operator has no practical way of preventing without closing down the entire network.</p>
<p>The copyright lobby had mobilized enormous resources to influence the EU Parliament in 1999. The IT industry, Cisco, and the telcos were late to react and almost missed what was about to happen. Swedish Telia identified the threat early and played an active role in the counter campaign. Eventually <a href="http://www.theregister.co.uk/1999/02/10/file_caching_faces_chop/">one corporate lobby managed to stop another</a> and the cached content amendment was rejected.</p>
<p>Now the conflict is repeating itself, both in the EU Telecom Package and in the way the copyright lobby is trying to expand the scope of the legal responsibility for copyright infringement. The copyright lobby’s strategy is to force telcos and web hotels to take full legal responsibility for traffic and content on their networks and servers.</p>
<p>The telcos have consistently resisted this and my prediction is that they won’t compromise a millimeter. They realize that if they begin to acknowledge legal responsibility for content, the floodgates will open for unlimited legal responsibility for everything that takes place on the Net.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>This article has previously been published on my Swedish blog.</em></p>
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		<title>Net Neutrality: AT&amp;T blocks unwanted traffic types in their mobile network</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/08/net-neutrality-att-blocks-traffic/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/08/net-neutrality-att-blocks-traffic/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Aug 2009 16:43:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business Models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile Industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Telecom 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[at&t]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[censorship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Net neutrality]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=854</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Many critics of the EU Telecom Package have feared that the principle of Net Neutrality will be undermined and abandoned. One example of this is TeliaSonera, which has blocked VoIP and P2P file sharing in their cheaper Swedish data plans Mobilsurf Bas and Mobilsurf Alltid.</p>
<p>In May, AT&#38;T also limited their mobile data traffic. In their [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Many critics of the EU Telecom Package have feared that the principle of Net Neutrality will be undermined and abandoned. One example of this is TeliaSonera, which has blocked VoIP and P2P file sharing in their cheaper Swedish data plans Mobilsurf Bas and Mobilsurf Alltid.</p>
<p>In May, <a href="http://www.wirelessandmobilenews.com/2009/05/att_restricts_and_limits_data_plans.html">AT&amp;T also limited their mobile data traffic</a>. In their new user terms AT&amp;T states that email access, mobile surfing, and intranet access is allowed. Downloading music one has paid for is also allowed. But AT&amp;T has banned resource hungry applications such as P2P file sharing, using your smartphone or netbook as a server for applications or running programs that require a constant connection. AT&amp;T has received the most criticism for stopping streamed TV from the competitor <a href="http://www.dslreports.com/shownews/ATT-Slingbox-3G-Fine-Print-Returns-102184">Slingbox </a>while allowing their own service AT&amp;T Mobile TV.</p>
<p>I am skeptical about these user terms. AT&amp;T already has a 5 GB/month traffic cap and if they want to limit the traffic more they can introduce cheaper plans with lower caps and charge for the data traffic in increments.</p>
<p>It is unclear if these bans are actually enforced in the network or if this is just rhetoric to scare users that their subscription might be cancelled if they abuse their data plan. From a customer service perspective it is insane to combine unclear rules with threats of arbitrary harassment of customers who use their data plan in the “wrong” way.</p>
<p>That operators offer different service bundles and prices should be fairly uncontroversial. What makes the debate about <a href="http://www.savetheinternet.com/">Net Neutrality</a> so <a href="http://www.laquadrature.net/en">heated </a>is the suspicion that the open character of the Internet will be undermined in a way that will eventually create a closed “cable TV style” network with massive censorship of communication and freedom of speech and that this will hamper new innovations.</p>
<p>I realize that operators have a legitimate interest in segmenting the market and charge more or less depending on the amount of traffic different customers generate. If the operators want to expand this service segmentation they have to disarm the debate about Net Neutrality themselves.</p>
<p>This can be accomplished in two ways. The first is to aggressively oppose all proposals of censorship from political right and left-wingers (for example with lobbying and PR-budgets of the same size as the marketing budget). The other way is for the telcos to accept open layered business models (e.g. unbundling the local loop) in order to avoid being perceived as threatening monopolists with a closed business model.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>This article has previously been published on my Swedish blog.</em></p>
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		<title>It took five years – Skype largest in the world</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/07/five-years-skype-largest-in-the-world/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/07/five-years-skype-largest-in-the-world/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2009 20:26:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business Models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Customers and Users]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Telecom 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[skype]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=810</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Traffic data from Telegeography shows that Skype has eight percent of the international voice traffic market. This makes Skype the largest actor in the world when it comes to international voice (which includes both POTS voice and VoIP from Skype and others). During 2008 the number of Skype traffic minutes grew with 41 percent and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Traffic data from <a href="http://www.telegeography.com/cu/article.php?article_id=27800&amp;email=html">Telegeography </a>shows that Skype has eight percent of the international voice traffic market. This makes Skype the largest actor in the world when it comes to international voice (which includes both POTS voice and VoIP from Skype and others). During 2008 the number of Skype traffic minutes grew with 41 percent and the growth is bound to continue. It has only been five years since Skype launched. Comments are superfluous.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>This article has previously been published on my Swedish blog.</em></p>
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		<title>Google Voice is launched: the market Verizon missed</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/07/google-voice-verizon-missed/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/07/google-voice-verizon-missed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 17:01:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business Models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Customers and Users]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Telecom 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[google voice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iobi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[verizon]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=803</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Almost two years after Google bought the startup GrandCentral they have now launched their repackaged services under the brand Google Voice on the U.S. market. With Google Voice you can manage your telephony via the web and they have developed a suite of interesting but rather obvious services around call forwarding and voicemail. Google Voice [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Almost two years after Google bought the startup GrandCentral they have now launched their repackaged services under the brand <a href="http://www.google.com/googlevoice/about.html">Google Voice</a> on the U.S. market. With Google Voice you can manage your telephony via the web and <a href="http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/03/11/grand-central-to-finally-launch-as-google-voice-its-very-very-good/">they have developed </a>a suite of interesting but rather obvious services around call forwarding and voicemail. Google Voice is an example of the emerging market for Telecom2, a market that already contains a number of startups such as Blyk, Fring, Truephone, Jott, Jaiku, Lypp, Spinvox, Zyb, and Ribbit. Some of them have already been acquired by large players such as BT, Vodafone and Google.</p>
<p>Google Voice’s <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/12/technology/personaltech/12pogue.html?_r=1">core offer </a>is ”one phone number for life”. New customers get a phone number which is connected to their server and from a web interface the user can forward the call to one or several of his/her fixed or mobile phones. Via the web it is possible to manage all your incoming voicemails, SMS, missed calls, etc. with an interface that resembles Gmail (Google states that a future full integration with Gmail is planned).</p>
<p>Voicemails in English are translated to text and the user can choose to receive them as SMS, email or read them on the web. Incoming calls can be managed by a menu: “press 1 to respond, press 2 to send to voicemail, press 3 to listen to incoming message, press 4 to respond and record the call”. Different outgoing voicemail messages can be used depending on if the call is from your boss or your parents. It is also possible to block certain numbers late at night. Outgoing domestic calls (including conference calls) are free and the international tariffs are much lower than SkypeOut.</p>
<p>Both the technology and the ideas for this have been around for a long time. Call forwarding with *21* has been available since the 80s (if I recall correctly). The Unified Mailbox was a compelling vision in the late 90s, and number portability has also existed for over a decade.</p>
<p>If the telco operators hadn’t been so slow to innovate they could have been able to do this themselves, or bought GrandCentral two years ago. Google and all the other Telco2 startups are now running rings around the telcos because IP and the web make it much easier to quickly deploy new services. As long as the telcos stay stuck in a worldview w here every new services have to be built on an industrial scale and integrated in the network before they can be launched it is inevitable that they will continue to lose out to more agile players.</p>
<p>And on the few occasions when the telcos develop innovative services they shoot themselves in the foot by developing proprietary systems, locking in the users, and overcharging. One example is <a href="https://www22.verizon.com/iobi/">iobi </a>from Verizon that was launched in 2004 – one year before GrandCentral. The service is similar to GrandCentral/GoogleVoice but is only available to Verizon customers. Their high monthly fees ($7.95 for consumers and $11.95 for businesses) prevent iobi from becoming a mass market leader and they have not licensed the software platform to any other players. The fact that customers will lose all their personal data if they cancel the service makes it even more unattractive to sign up with iobi.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>This article has previously been published on my Swedish blog.</em></p>
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		<title>Welcome to the English version of my blog</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/06/welcome-english-blog/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/06/welcome-english-blog/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2009 10:11:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Broadband]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business Models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Customers and Users]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Industry Life Cycle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media, Swarm, and Social Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile Industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Products and Gadgets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technologies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Telecom 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trends and Futurism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=634</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Wordpress plug-in for multi-language blogs I have been waiting for (WPML) is now reasonably stable and I can launch the blog in English. Sidebars, tagline and widgets are not yet adaptable for dual language versions but that will hopefully be fixed soon. To begin with, I will translate most of my Swedish posts and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Wordpress plug-in for multi-language blogs I have been waiting for (<a href="http://wpml.org/">WPML</a>) is now reasonably stable and I can launch the blog in English. Sidebars, tagline and widgets are not yet adaptable for dual language versions but that will hopefully be fixed soon. To begin with, I will translate most of my Swedish posts and that will take some time. For future blog posts, my plan is to simultaneously publish each article post in both languages, with the exception of some articles that only will be relevant for Swedish readers. (This post is temporarily categorized with all categories in order for them to be visible in the drop down menu.)</p>
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