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	<title>Mobile Foresight &#187; Industry Life Cycle</title>
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	<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com</link>
	<description>Jonas Lind’s blog about innovations, business models, trends, and other things that propel the telecom/media sector forward</description>
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		<title>The hidden gems – profitable Japanese component makers</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/11/hidden-gems-profitable-japanese-component-makers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/11/hidden-gems-profitable-japanese-component-makers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Nov 2009 10:51:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Industry Life Cycle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trends and Futurism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[attention to details]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chuken kigyo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[component manufacturers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mittelstand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[product quality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[proprietary capabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tacit knowledge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[work ethics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=1044</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Economist recently ran an excellent article (“Japan&#8217;s technology champions – Invisible but indispensable”) about successful medium size Japanese companies that are global market leaders in proprietary high-tech components. As their unique capabilities are so hard to replicate they can enjoy stable and very high profits year after year.</p>
<p>The article mentions several examples of companies [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Economist recently ran an excellent article (“<a href="http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14793432">Japan&#8217;s technology champions – Invisible but indispensable</a>”) about successful medium size Japanese companies that are global market leaders in proprietary high-tech components. As their unique capabilities are so hard to replicate they can enjoy stable and very high profits year after year.</p>
<p>The article mentions several examples of companies that in Japan are labeled <em>chuken kigyo</em> (strong, medium-sized firm). For example, the unknown company Nidec makes 75% of the micro-motors for hard-disk drives in computers. Japan Steel Works is the only company that can make the huge solid-steel vessel that contains the radioactivity in a nuclear power plant. Only the Japanese company has the technology to forge a single 600-tonne steel ingot into the critical $150m part. The Japanese company Murata has 40% of the global market for capacitors and their overall margins (including other lines of business) is around 50%. Shimano earns around $1.5 billion a year by supplying 60-70% of the world’s bicycle gears and brakes. Covalent controls 70% of the market for carbon brushes in electric motors. A few Japanese firms are indispensable in four critical steps in the process of making computer chips: wafer processing; thin-film formation; coating, lithography and developing; and contact and packaging. The success of these companies is a case study for management theory and they hold valuable lessons for the rest of us.</p>
<p>What these companies illustrate is that making a critical component (or module) that that are built on proprietary knowledge can be a very profitable market position if you are the global market leader.</p>
<p>The Japanese <em>chuken kigyo</em> companies take the idea of protecting their unique capabilities to the extreme. They often own their critical supply chains and some firms even make their own production machinery in order to maintain a deep proprietary understanding of their technology. The knowledge about the technology is tacit, not formal. It accumulates by working with colleagues over many years. This poses a barrier to entry for rivals. It is also why these firms try to maintain lifetime employment.</p>
<p>Another contributing factor to their success can be found in Japanese culture. A strong emphasis on quality, structure, and excellence permeates Japanese society. There is right way of doing even trivial tasks such wrapping presents or making tea, and a way of learning to be a master by total concentration and paying attention to details. A work force brought up with this set of values is of course an asset for companies that strive for excellence in complicated technologies.</p>
<p>The German <em>Mittelstands </em>are another example of successful medium size firms that exploit unique proprietary capabilities in a similar way. Features in German culture such as the emphasis on quality, durability, order, structure, craftsmanship and attention to detail have been used to explain the success of the <em>Mittelstands</em> and are strikingly similar to the Japanese value system.</p>
<p>The implication is not that a strategy of excellence in proprietary knowledge only works in Japan and Germany. There are numerous examples of companies that have succeeded in proprietary advanced technology components throughout the world.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, in some countries it would be an uphill battle to go against the dominating work ethics and business culture. The necessary long-term perspective will be hard to accomplish if short-term financial results are allowed to dominate strategic decision making. Preventing high staff turnover will be a problem if the cultural norm is to frequently change jobs. If the norm is to fire staff as soon as there is a dip in revenues, companies will not be able to build staff loyalty. If a country has a substandard work ethic with a laid back attitude about quality, professionalism and service it will be difficult to motivate staff to commit to changing the way they work in order to attain this kind of perfectionism.</p>
<p>A company that wants to emulate this strategy of excellence in proprietary technology should take a hard look at their available competence and capabilities before attempting to implement it. For example, this might work in Sweden but I would be concerned about the lack of attention to detail and the lax work ethic that is prevalent in the Swedish workforce.</p>
<p>However, I do not believe in cultural determinism. Drawbacks can be overcome and firms in other countries can replicate the best parts of the success factors from the <em>Mittelstands</em> and the <em>chuken kigyos. </em></p>
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		<title>The Tech Sector – an aging industry?</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/06/tech-sector-industry-life-cycle/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/06/tech-sector-industry-life-cycle/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Jun 2009 15:37:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Industry Life Cycle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trends and Futurism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IT-industry]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=703</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Sometimes I get the feeling that those of us who are active in the tech sector (IT, telecom, mobile, new media) are victims of a collective delusion. We would like to view our own industry as more advanced than the rest of the economy. More innvovative, higher salaries, more ”wow” factor. Incomprehensible for outsiders. We [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sometimes I get the feeling that those of us who are active in the tech sector (IT, telecom, mobile, new media) are victims of a collective delusion. We would like to view our own industry as more advanced than the rest of the economy. More innvovative, higher salaries, more ”wow” factor. Incomprehensible for outsiders. We are the industry that breaks new ground, that consists of fast growing startups, that is building technological solutions for the future. Since the industry’s self-image is very flattering it is difficult to see the facts that contradict this.</p>
<p>Just a few examples: computers have been around for 60 years and parts of the industry are deep into the maturity phase of its life cycle, resembling any other aging industry. An example of this is consulting giants such as EDS, Accenture and IBM Professional Services. Other examples are the PC (OS, manufacturing, distribution) and the huge software platforms such as SAP. The telecom operators have been in this phase for a long time and now even the equipment vendors such as Ericsson with their fast growing business area Ericsson Professional Services are also reaching this phase. In this part of the industry, the key words are scale economics, operational routines, incremental process improvements and cost control. Even high profile companies such as Microsoft and Oracle are more than 30 years old.</p>
<p>In most developed economies the digital infrastructure is already in place and deployed. Mobile penetration is close to 100 percent; access to the Internet and PCs is as taken for granted as TV was in the late 20th century. All companies have already deployed mission critical IT/telecom systems.</p>
<p>The big productivity gains from the current IT/telecom systems are already captured. What company believes that they can achieve breakthrough competitive advantages because their SAP systems will be dramatically better in 10 years time compared to today? Is the PC in 2009 so much better compared to ten years ago? How long ago was it that company white collar staff stopped being chained to their desks during fixed work hours in order to be reachable by phone? Does anyone remember?</p>
<p>However, even though some parts of the industry are aging, there is still fervent activity at the innovation frontier. The fact that the tech sector manages a huge installed base of complex legacy systems that today have become the infrastructure of the economy does not mean that technological development has come to a halt. The radical innovations and strategic breakthroughs are still there but they are in niches and new applications, not in a better business system or a faster bus on the PC motherboard.</p>
<p>Today, a large part of the tech sector is a factory burdened by legacy systems and the huge problems of managing large scale operations that are very complex. The difference is that these core industries in 2009 have a higher knowledge level compared to the mines, factories and railroads of 1909. Windows Update and new releases of software from SAP may be incredibly advanced but it is the wrong place to look for important innovations or new technologies for the future.</p>
<p>It is a paradox that we find both the breakthroughs of tomorrow and aging core industries in the same sector. That we are unable to see the large elephant in the room is due to the fact that it does not fit with what we in the futurist profession call the mental map. Our mental map creates blind spots that cause us to miss certain shifts in the economy even though they are clearly visible.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>This article is a translation from my Swedish blog post. </em></p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Welcome to the English version of my blog</title>
		<link>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/06/welcome-english-blog/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mobileforesight.com/2009/06/welcome-english-blog/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2009 10:11:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonas Lind</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Broadband]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business Models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Customers and Users]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Industry Life Cycle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media, Swarm, and Social Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mobile Industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Products and Gadgets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technologies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Telecom 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trends and Futurism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mobileforesight.com/?p=634</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Wordpress plug-in for multi-language blogs I have been waiting for (WPML) is now reasonably stable and I can launch the blog in English. Sidebars, tagline and widgets are not yet adaptable for dual language versions but that will hopefully be fixed soon. To begin with, I will translate most of my Swedish posts and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Wordpress plug-in for multi-language blogs I have been waiting for (<a href="http://wpml.org/">WPML</a>) is now reasonably stable and I can launch the blog in English. Sidebars, tagline and widgets are not yet adaptable for dual language versions but that will hopefully be fixed soon. To begin with, I will translate most of my Swedish posts and that will take some time. For future blog posts, my plan is to simultaneously publish each article post in both languages, with the exception of some articles that only will be relevant for Swedish readers. (This post is temporarily categorized with all categories in order for them to be visible in the drop down menu.)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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